Sunday, October 17, 2004

Un-Laser Like Precision

As you may have noticed, I don't worry much about polls. But now that we're down to the wire, it's worth noting some very big surprises.

One, Bush is doing very well in New Jersey, which of course is supposed to be safe for Kerry. Two -- and this is very, very weird -- Kerry is neck-and-neck with Bush in Arkansas. That's even without much help from a still-recovering Clinton.

Of course, it's helpful to note that at about this point in the 2000 election, polls predicted Bush would win. And we all know how that turned out.

1 Comments:

At 9:38 PM, Blogger Fake Name said...

Polls are bad for the process. Even Zogby, who is usually the closest http://zogby.com/news/index.cfm. The problem is the nationwide Bush v. Kerry v. Nader misleads that this election is basicaly about three/four states. This thing http://www.latimes.com/news/politics/election-test-fl,0,1851284.flash?coll=la-home-multimedia is better.

 

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